Clouded Judgement 4.14.23

About

Clouded Judgement 4.14.23

CPI / Fed Update

March CPI data came in this week. Headline CPI came in at 5.0% YoY vs consensus of 5.1%. Headline CPI has now fallen for 9 consecutive months. Core CPI came in at 5.6% YoY vs consensus of 5.6%.

Net New ARR Slowdown

Cloud Optimizations

Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples ATTACH

EV / NTM

可以看作是 SaaS 行业的估值方式。中位数都接近 9,综合中位数为 4.9,就是 Revenue x 9。

Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement

Update on Multiples

SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

Multiples shown below are calculated by taking the Enterprise Value (market cap + debt - cash) / NTM revenue.

Overall Stats:

  • Overall Median: 5.9x
  • Top 5 Median: 11.4x
  • 10Y: 3.4%